Uav and Ground Sensors Collaborate to Estimate Network-Wide Traffic States and Minimize Observation Uncertainty

Accurate, network-wide traffic monitoring forms the backbone of effective urban management, and researchers are increasingly exploring the potential of unmanned aerial vehicles, or drones, to improve data collection. Jiarong Yao from The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, alongside Chaopeng Tan, Meng Wang, and Wei Ma from Technische Universität Dresden, present a novel approach that integrates drone observations with existing ground-based sensors, such as connected vehicles and loop detectors. This collaborative system aims to reconstruct vehicle paths and accurately estimate traffic flow, and the team developed a new algorithm to optimise drone deployment for minimal uncertainty in traffic state estimation. Their work demonstrates that a fleet of just seven drones can significantly reduce observation uncertainty and improve the accuracy of arrival rate and queue length estimations by over 7% and 5% respectively, while also converging on solutions faster than existing methods, representing a substantial step towards more responsive and efficient urban traffic control.

Scientists addressed the challenge of minimizing uncertainty in key traffic parameters, such as queue lengths, vehicle arrival rates, and traffic flow. The team developed a novel framework combining methods for quantifying uncertainty in vehicle movements with a sophisticated optimization algorithm to determine the best UAV locations. The core of this work lies in accurately modelling the unpredictable nature of traffic and then using this information to guide UAV deployment.

Researchers created an improved quantum-inspired genetic algorithm (IQGA) designed to efficiently explore potential UAV placements and converge on optimal solutions. This algorithm balances the need to discover diverse deployment strategies with the goal of finding the most effective arrangement. Results demonstrate that IQGA outperforms other optimization algorithms in minimizing traffic state uncertainty, and that even a small number of strategically positioned UAVs can dramatically reduce uncertainty compared to relying solely on ground sensors. Sensitivity analysis revealed how increasing the number of deployed UAVs further enhances the accuracy of traffic monitoring.

UAV Deployment Optimizes Traffic State Estimation

This study pioneers a collaborative approach to urban traffic monitoring, integrating unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with existing ground sensors, including connected vehicles and loop detectors, to achieve more reliable traffic state estimation. Recognizing the limitations of both traditional ground sensors and complete UAV coverage, the research focuses on optimally deploying a limited UAV fleet to maximize network-wide observation benefits. To quantify these benefits, scientists developed a new metric, termed “feasible domain size,” which measures uncertainty in traffic state estimation and serves as the primary objective function for optimization. The methodology centers on minimizing this observation uncertainty across the entire road network.

Researchers formulated the UAV deployment problem as an optimization challenge, seeking the UAV locations that yield the lowest overall uncertainty in estimating vehicle paths, arrival rates, and queue lengths. Given the complexity of this large-scale problem, the team engineered IQGA, specifically designed to enhance the search for optimal solutions. Evaluation on an empirical network comprising 18 intersections demonstrates that a fleet of just 7 vehicles is sufficient for effective traffic monitoring, reducing network-wide observation uncertainty by more than 60%. The optimized UAV location scheme achieved improvements of up to 7.

23% and 5. 02% in the accuracy of estimating arrival rates and queue lengths, respectively, compared to other methods. Furthermore, IQGA converged approximately 9. 22% faster than a classic genetic algorithm, exhibiting superior exploration capabilities.

UAVs and Ground Sensors Improve Traffic Monitoring

This research delivers a breakthrough in urban traffic monitoring by effectively integrating unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with existing ground-based sensors. Scientists developed a novel approach to optimize UAV deployment, aiming for more reliable estimation of vehicle paths, arrival rates, and queue lengths across entire road networks. The team introduced a new metric, termed “feasible domain size,” to quantify uncertainty in traffic states, providing a unified measure for evaluating the combined benefits of both aerial and ground-based sensing. Experiments conducted on an empirical network comprising 18 intersections demonstrated that a fleet of just 7 UAVs is sufficient for effective traffic monitoring, reducing overall network-wide observation uncertainty by more than 60%.

The optimized UAV location scheme yielded improvements of up to 7. 23% and 5. 02% in the accuracy of estimated arrival rates and queue lengths, respectively, when compared to baseline approaches. Furthermore, the team developed IQGA to enhance the efficiency of UAV deployment planning. Tests revealed that IQGA converges on solutions approximately 9. 22% faster than a classic quantum genetic algorithm, while also demonstrating superior exploration capabilities in identifying optimal UAV placements. This innovative combination of a new uncertainty metric and an advanced optimization algorithm represents a significant advancement in the field of intelligent transportation systems, paving the way for more efficient and sustainable urban traffic management.

UAVs Optimise Traffic State Estimation

This research successfully demonstrates an innovative approach to urban traffic monitoring by optimising the deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in conjunction with existing ground-based sensors. The team developed a method that transforms the UAV deployment problem into an optimisation task focused on minimising uncertainty in estimating network-wide traffic states, including vehicle path flow, arrival rates, and queue lengths. A key achievement is the introduction of the indicator, feasible domain size, to quantify this uncertainty and guide the UAV placement process. Evaluation using a simulated road network with 18 intersections shows that a fleet of just seven UAVs can significantly improve traffic state estimation.

Specifically, the optimised UAV locations achieved improvements of 7. 23% and 5. 02% in the accuracy of estimating arrival rates and queue lengths, respectively, compared to alternative deployment strategies. Furthermore, the researchers developed IQGA, which demonstrated faster convergence and enhanced solution searching capabilities than conventional methods. Future research directions include investigating the impact of connected vehicle penetration rates and algorithm parameters, extending the UAV deployment strategy to estimate other traffic metrics like travel time and origin-destination flows, and developing a dynamic UAV routing system to adapt to changing traffic conditions throughout the day.

👉 More information
🗞 Collaborating Unmanned Aerial Vehicle and Ground Sensors for Urban Signalized Network Traffic Monitoring
🧠 ArXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.24460

Rohail T.

Rohail T.

As a quantum scientist exploring the frontiers of physics and technology. My work focuses on uncovering how quantum mechanics, computing, and emerging technologies are transforming our understanding of reality. I share research-driven insights that make complex ideas in quantum science clear, engaging, and relevant to the modern world.

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