Rényi Divergence Achieves Lottery Valuation with Risk Aversion Parameter for Lottery

Scientists are increasingly recognising the deep connections between information theory, quantum mechanics, and decision-making. Andrés F Ducuara, Erkka Haapasalo, and Ryo Takakura et al. demonstrate this by providing a novel operational interpretation of multivariate Rényi divergence, framing it within the context of betting games involving multiple lotteries, a significant step towards understanding rational agent behaviour under risk. Their research quantifies the economic value a risk-averse agent assigns to these lotteries, revealing a precise link between Rényi divergence and the isoelastic certainty equivalent, and introduces a new conditional divergence that accounts for ‘side’ information, crucially satisfying a data processing inequality reflective of consistent risk aversion. By bridging physics, information theory, and economics, this work establishes a robust foundation for analysing state betting games and offers fresh insights into the nature of resource quantification.

Rényi divergence links to rational lottery valuation through

Scientists have demonstrated a novel interpretation of the multivariate Rényi divergence, linking it directly to economic-theoretic principles of betting, risk aversion, and multiple lotteries. The team achieved an operational understanding of this mathematical tool by framing it within the context of rational agents making decisions under uncertainty, specifically when evaluating the value of different lotteries. This breakthrough reveals that the multivariate Rényi divergence quantifies the economic value a rational agent assigns to lotteries, determined by the odds of a random event described by a probability distribution. In particular, when odds are fair, the divergence precisely calculates the isoelastic certainty equivalent, the minimum guaranteed amount a risk-averse agent would accept instead of participating in the lottery.

The research establishes a new conditional multivariate Rényi divergence, extending the framework to scenarios where agents have access to side information, enhancing their decision-making capabilities. Experiments show that this new quantity adheres to a data processing inequality, meaning that side information increases the economic value assigned to the lotteries, directly reflecting the agent’s consistent risk-averse behaviour. Crucially, this inequality isn’t merely a mathematical consequence but is fundamentally rooted in the agent’s economic rationality and aversion to risk across all lotteries. The study unveils a powerful connection between information theory and economic decision-making, providing a rigorous mathematical foundation for understanding how rational agents evaluate and respond to uncertainty.

Furthermore, the scientists applied these findings to the resource theory of measurements within general probabilistic theories (GPTs), bridging the gap between information theory, physics, and economics. By establishing quantitative links between these disparate fields, the work opens new avenues for exploring quantum state betting games and quantum resource theories. The team proved that the economic-theoretic value assigned to lotteries is given by wICE R = exp[Dα( PX)], where R = (R1, ., Rd) represents a risk-aversion vector with each Rk = 1 + αk/α0 being the risk-aversion parameter for a specific lottery k. This precise mathematical formulation allows for a detailed analysis of how risk aversion influences decision-making in complex scenarios.

This innovative framework provides a novel operational foundation for state betting games involving multiple lotteries, offering a powerful tool for analysing resource allocation and decision-making processes. The research, detailed in a paper dated January 27, 2026, builds upon expected utility theory, a cornerstone of economic modelling, and extends it to incorporate the nuances of risk aversion and uncertainty. By. Specifically, when odds are fair and the agent maximises betting strategies, the resulting economic value, the isoelastic certainty equivalent, is precisely given by a formula incorporating a risk-aversion vector and a risk-aversion parameter.

Researchers calculated α0 := 1 + d X k=1 (Rk −1) .−1 and αk := (Rk −1)α0 to determine the orders and scales for these divergences, directly linking them to the agent’s risk profile. The work pioneered a new conditional multivariate Rényi divergence, modelling scenarios where agents utilise side information. Scientists proved this new quantity satisfies a data processing inequality, representing the increment in economic value gained from accessing side information. This inequality arises directly from the agent’s consistently risk-averse attitude towards each lottery, establishing a fundamental connection between economic rationality and information processing.

Experiments employed joint probability mass functions, q(k) XG and r(k) XG, to model the interplay between events and side information, ensuring independence between q(k) X|G and b(k) X|G. Furthermore, the study applied these results to the resource of measurements within general probabilistic theories (GPTs). The team engineered a framework establishing quantitative connections between information, physics, and economics, providing a novel foundation for state betting games with multiple lotteries. Corollary 4 reveals that the log isoelastic certainty equivalent is maximised by optimising over conditional probability mass functions BX|G, resulting in the equation max BX|G log wICE(p(0) XG, OX, BX|G, uR) = Dα,α0 PX|G p(0) G + d X k=1 αk α0 −1 log F (k).

This approach uniquely identifies a specific conditional multivariate Rényi divergence, the BLP type, with a defined second order of α0 = maxk αk. Finally, researchers demonstrated that access to side information increases the economic value assigned to lotteries, as evidenced by the data processing inequality: max BX|G log wICE(p(0) XG, OFair X, BX|G, uR) ≥max BX log wICE(p(0) X, OFair X, BX, uR). This result highlights how side information enhances the “value” of lotteries for a risk-averse gambler, solidifying the link between information-theoretic consequences and economic behaviour.

Rényi divergence quantifies economic value of lotteries by

Scientists have established an operational interpretation of the multivariate Rényi divergence, linking it to economic-theoretic tasks involving betting, risk aversion, and multiple lotteries. The research demonstrates that the multivariate Rényi divergence quantifies the economic value a rational agent assigns to lotteries with odds ( ) on a random event described by . Specifically, when odds are fair and the agent maximises betting strategies, the economic value, the isoelastic certainty equivalent, is precisely given by, where is a risk-aversion vector and is the risk-aversion parameter for a given lottery. This measurement provides a direct link between information-theoretic quantities and rational economic behaviour.

Experiments revealed that the newly introduced conditional multivariate Rényi divergence characterises scenarios where the agent utilises side information. Tests prove this quantity satisfies a data processing inequality, interpreted as the increment in economic value provided by side information; crucially, this inequality stems from the agent’s consistent risk-averse attitude towards every lottery. The team measured that this data processing inequality holds because of the agent’s economic consistency, demonstrating a fundamental connection between information processing and rational decision-making under uncertainty. Results demonstrate the applicability of these findings to the resource theory of measurements in general probabilistic theories (GPTs).

Scientists established quantitative connections between information theory, physical theories, and economics, providing a novel foundation for state betting games with multiple lotteries within quantum resource theories. The breakthrough delivers a framework where the multivariate Rényi divergence acts as a core quantity, linking disparate fields through the lens of rational economic behaviour. Measurements confirm that the utility function, a central concept in economics, mathematically encodes risk aversion through its curvature. The research recorded that the certainty equivalent of a lottery, the minimum amount a rational agent accepts instead of participating, completely resolves decision problems involving uncertainty, representing the lottery’s economic value. This work establishes that the R enyi divergence of order α, defined as Dα(p(0) X ∥p(1) X ) = 1 α −1 log “X x∈X (p(0) X (x))α(p(1) X (x))1−α #, serves as a cornerstone quantity for quantifying the dissimilarity between probability distributions. Furthermore, the multivariate extension, Dα(PX) = 1 max 0≤k≤d αk −1 log “X x∈X d Y k=0 p(k) X (x) αk #, satisfies the data processing inequality under specific conditions on the orders α, ensuring its validity as an information-theoretic divergence.

👉 More information
🗞 Multivariate Rényi divergences characterise betting games with multiple lotteries
🧠 ArXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.17850

Rohail T.

Rohail T.

As a quantum scientist exploring the frontiers of physics and technology. My work focuses on uncovering how quantum mechanics, computing, and emerging technologies are transforming our understanding of reality. I share research-driven insights that make complex ideas in quantum science clear, engaging, and relevant to the modern world.

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